Forecast of Russian
socio-economic development
This section contains forecasts of basic indicators reflecting the state of the Russian economy in the medium term. The forecasts have been developed by leading Russian and international analytical teams.
Last update: 26.09.2024 г.
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GDP Growth, % to the previous year
№
Source
2024г.
2025г.
2026г.
Publication date
1
Center of macroeconomic
analysis and short-term forecast
analysis and short-term forecast
3,6-4,0%
2,0-2,4%
1,9-2,3%
26.09.2024
2
VEB.RF
3,7% -0,1 п.п.
2,6% -0,1 п.п.
2,4% +0,4 п.п.
13.09.2024
3
Institute of Economic Forecasting
of the Russian Academy of science
of the Russian Academy of science
3,7% +0,3 п.п.
3% +0,4 п.п.
2,8% +0,3 п.п.
11.09.2024
4
Ministry of Economic Development
3,9% +1,1 п.п.
2,5% +0,2 п.п.
2,6% +0,3 п.п.
06.09.2024
5
The Central Bank of
the Russian Federation survey
the Russian Federation survey
3,6% +0,4 п.п.
1,7% 0 п.п.
1,9% +0,2 п.п.
04.09.2024
6
The Central Bank of
the Russian Federation
the Russian Federation
3,5-4,0%
0,5-1,5%
1,0-2,0%
26.07.2024
7
International Monetary Fund, IMF
3,2% 0 п.п.
1,5% -0.3 п.п.
16.07.2024
8
World Bank, WB
2,9% +0,7 п.п.
1,4% +0,3 п.п.
1,1% 0 п.п.
11.06.2024
9
Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development,
OECD
Co-operation and Development,
OECD
2,57% +0,77 п.п.
1,0% 0 п.п.
02.05.2024
Inflation rate, % December 2024 to previous year December
№
Source
2024г.
2025г.
2026г.
Publication date
1
Center of macroeconomic
analysis and short-term forecast
analysis and short-term forecast
8,2-8,5%
4,6-5,0%
3,8-4,1%
26.09.2024
2
VEB.RF
6,9% +1,6 п.п.
5,3% +0,7 п.п.
4,3% +0,2 п.п.
13.09.2024
3
Institute of Economic Forecasting
of the Russian Academy of science
of the Russian Academy of science
7,7%+0,7 п.п.
4,7%-0,6 п.п.
4,5%-0,2 п.п.
11.09.2024
4
Ministry of Economic Development
7,3% +2,2 п.п.
4,5% +0,5 п.п.
4,0% 0 п.п.
06.09.2024
5
The Central Bank of
the Russian Federation survey
the Russian Federation survey
7,3% +0,8 п.п.
4,8% +0,3 п.п.
4,0% 0 п.п.
04.09.2024
6
The Central Bank of
the Russian Federation
the Russian Federation
6,5-7,0%
4,0-4,5%
4,0% 0 п.п.
26.07.2024
7
Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development,
OECD
Co-operation and Development,
OECD
7,2% 0 п.п.
5,3% 0 п.п.
02.05.2024
Investment growth in fixed capital, % to the previous year
№
Source
2024г.
2025г.
2026г.
Publication date
1
Center of macroeconomic
analysis and short-term forecast
analysis and short-term forecast
6,5-6,7%
4,2-4,5%
4,0-4,4%
26.09.2024
2
VEB.RF
6,4% -0,1 п.п.
1,9% -1,8 п.п.
2,8% +0,3 п.п.
13.09.2024
3
Ministry of Economic Development
7,8% +5,5 п.п.
2,1% -0,9 п.п.
3,0% 0 п.п.
06.09.2024
Ruble to US dollar exchange rate, rub/$ 2024 average
№
Source
2024г.
2025г.
2026г.
Publication date
1
Center of macroeconomic
analysis and short-term forecast
analysis and short-term forecast
92,0-95,25₽
92,0-95,1₽
96,0-100,0₽
26.09.2024
2
VEB.RF
90,4₽ -1,8₽
94,3₽ 0 п.п.
95,0₽ +5,2₽
13.09.2024
3
Institute of Economic Forecasting
of the Russian Academy of science
of the Russian Academy of science
90,3₽ -4,4₽
94,1₽ -4,5₽
96,6₽ -4,6₽
11.09.2024
4
Ministry of Economic Development
91,2₽ -3,5₽
96,5₽ -2,1₽
100₽ -1,2₽
06.09.2024
5
The Central Bank of
the Russian Federation survey
the Russian Federation survey
90,4₽ +0,3₽
94,4₽ -0,6₽
96,4₽ -0,8₽
04.09.2024
